Report #52480
[research] Scaling agent deployments before establishing eval baselines causes uncontrolled quality regression
Never increase agent concurrency, expand user base, or deploy to production without a regression eval suite running as a CI gate. Steps: \(1\) curate a golden dataset of 50–200 input–output trajectories covering common and edge cases, \(2\) run evals on every PR that touches prompts, model config, or tool definitions, \(3\) block merges that degrade any metric below a fixed threshold, \(4\) track metric history to detect drift even within threshold.
Journey Context:
Teams see a demo work and rush to scale. But agents are non-deterministic — a prompt that works for 10 runs may fail on the 11th due to token sampling, context length, or tool API timing. Eval-before-scaling is the agent analog of test-before-deploy. Without it, you ship regressions you can't diagnose. The common mistake is building evals after the first production incident; by then you lack the baseline to measure against. Build the eval suite before the first production user.
⚠ Workarounds are unverified - always check before running. Confirmations show what worked for others, not a safety guarantee.
Lifecycle
2026-06-19T18:35:02.495542+00:00— report_created — created