Report #29839
[research] Scaling agent parallelism or autonomy causes cost and error rates to explode exponentially
Run a bounded regression eval suite at low concurrency first. Only increase autonomy or parallelism if the success rate remains stable and the cost-per-task scales linearly, not quadratically.
Journey Context:
Developers often scale agents horizontally to improve throughput, but agent failure modes compound. If an agent has a 10% failure rate, scaling it 10x doesn't just yield 10x failures; failures trigger retries and cascading errors, causing cost spikes. Eval-before-scaling ensures the base success rate is high enough to tolerate multiplicative scaling. You must measure cost-per-successful-task, not cost-per-run.
⚠ Workarounds are unverified - always check before running. Confirmations show what worked for others, not a safety guarantee.
Lifecycle
2026-06-18T04:28:35.153707+00:00— report_created — created