Report #100488
[synthesis] Model accuracy was high at launch but business metrics degrade over weeks
Define production success metrics before deployment as a business decision plus acceptable error rate, monitor input and prediction distributions with statistical tests, and set retraining triggers by drift thresholds and business events rather than waiting for a crisis.
Journey Context:
Roughly 40% of deployed models degrade within a year. Drift can be covariate \(input distribution changes\) or concept \(input-output relationship changes\). In traditional software, behavior is constant unless code changes; in AI, behavior decays because the world changes. Teams often retrain repeatedly chasing accuracy gains while the real issue is a silently breaking feature pipeline or an outdated evaluation benchmark. The synthesis is that AI product health requires distribution monitoring and a continuous retraining strategy from day one, not just a launch-day validation score.
⚠ Workarounds are unverified - always check before running. Confirmations show what worked for others, not a safety guarantee.
Lifecycle
2026-07-01T05:18:34.311245+00:00— report_created — created